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Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010

 

Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010

Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010

November 2, 2010

 
Nominee Butch Otter Keith G. Allred Jana Kemp
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 267,483 148,680 26,655
Percentage 59.11% 32.85% 5.89%

County results

Governor before election

Butch Otter
Republican

Elected Governor

Butch Otter
Republican

The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.

A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.

Contents

  • Republican primary 1
    • Candidates 1.1
    • Campaign 1.2
    • Polling 1.3
    • Results 1.4
  • Democratic primary 2
    • Candidates 2.1
    • Declined to run 2.2
    • Results 2.3
  • Minor party candidates 3
    • Libertarian Party 3.1
    • Independents 3.2
  • General election 4
    • Campaign 4.1
    • Predictions 4.2
    • Polling 4.3
    • Results 4.4
  • References 5
  • External links 6

Republican primary

Candidates

Campaign

Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.[5]

In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.[6]

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Walt
Bayes
Butch
Otter
Ron"Pete"
Peterson
Rex
Rammell
Sharon
Ullman
Tamara
Wells
Un-
decided
Mason-Dixon (report) May 17–19, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 1% 60% 3% 6% 4% 1% 25%

Results

Republican primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Butch Otter (incumbent) 89,117 54.6%
Republican Rex Rammell 42,436 26.0%
Republican Sharon Ullman 13,749 8.4%
Republican Pete Peterson 8,402 5.2%
Republican Walt Bayes 4,825 3.0%
Republican Tamara Wells 4,544 2.8%
Republican Fred Nichols 38 0.0%
Totals 163,111 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declined to run

  • Jerry Brady, the Democratic nominee in 2002 and 2006, will be 74 in 2010 and declined to run again in 2010.[10]

Results

Democratic primary results[7]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Keith Allred 22,386 81.7%
Democratic Lee Chaney 5,026 18.3%
Totals 27,412 100%

Minor party candidates

Libertarian Party

  • Ted Dunlap

Independents

  • Jana Kemp, former Republican state Representative[2]
  • Constitution Party gubernatorial candidate, and 2008 U.S. Senate candidate.[11]

General election

Campaign

Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.[12]

Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.[5]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid R[13] September 30, 2010
Rothenberg Safe R[14] October 15, 2010
Swing State Project Likely R
RealClearPolitics Safe R[15] October 16, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely R[16] October 14, 2010
CQ Politics Likely R[17] October 16, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Butch Otter (R) Keith Allred (D)
Rasmussen Reports August 31, 2010 52% 36%
Rasmussen Reports July 15, 2010 53% 36%
Rasmussen Reports May 11, 2010 54% 32%
Rasmussen Reports March 23, 2010 60% 28%

Results

Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Butch Otter 267,483 59.11% +6.44%
Democratic Keith G. Allred 148,680 32.85% -11.25%
Independent Jana M. Kemp 26,655 5.89%
Libertarian Ted Dunlap 5,867 1.30% -0.31%
Independent Pro-Life 3,850 0.85% -0.77%
Majority 118,803 26.25% +17.69%
Turnout 452,535
Republican hold Swing

References

  1. ^ "Gov. Otter files candidacy papers for re-election".  
  2. ^ a b "Three in, one out in Guv’s race".  
  3. ^ Kunz, Aaron (May 13, 2009). "Rex Rammell Announcement To Run For Governor".  
  4. ^ "Ada County Commissioner Sharon Ullman will run for governor in 2010".  
  5. ^ a b Miller, John (May 25, 2010). "Otter, Allred win their Idaho primaries".  
  6. ^ "Idaho Republican, governor hopeful Rex Rammell makes 'Obama tags' joke about hunting President Obama".  
  7. ^ a b "Idaho Governor Primary Results". The Associated Press. May 25, 2010. Retrieved May 25, 2010. 
  8. ^ Popkey, Dan (December 11, 2009). "Keith Allred will run as a Democrat in Idaho's race for governor".  
  9. ^ Kunz, Aaron (July 7, 2009). "Lee Chaney Runs for Governor as Democrat".  
  10. ^ Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again Accessed 16 August 2007
  11. ^ "Pro-Life For Governor, 2010". ProLifeIdaho.com. Retrieved March 15, 2010. 
  12. ^ Iverson-Long, Brad (May 18, 2010). "Allred leading Otter in fundraising so far in 2010". Idaho Reporter. Retrieved June 6, 2010. 
  13. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings".  
  14. ^ "Governor Ratings".  
  15. ^ "2010 Governor Races".  
  16. ^ "2010 Governor Ratings".  
  17. ^ "Races for Governor in 2010".  
  18. ^ http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2010/General/tot_stwd.htm

External links

  • Idaho Office of Elections
  • Idaho Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
  • Campaign contributions for 2010 Idaho Governor from Follow the Money
  • Idaho Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
  • 2010 Idaho Gubernatorial General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
  • Election 2010: Idaho Governor from Rasmussen Reports
  • 2010 Idaho Governor Race: Otter vs. Allred from Real Clear Politics
  • 2010 Idaho Governor's Race from CQ Politics
  • Race Profile in The New York Times
Official campaign websites
  • Butch Otter for Re-election
  • Rex Rammell for Governor
  • Keith Allred for Governor
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