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United States Senate election in New York, 2010

 

United States Senate election in New York, 2010

United States Senate election in New York, 2010

November 2, 2010

 
Nominee Chuck Schumer Jay Townsend
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 3,047,775 1,480,337
Percentage 66.4% 33.0%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

The 2010 United States Senate election in New York took place as scheduled on November 2, 2010 along with elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a third term.[1]

Contents

  • Background 1
  • Republican nomination 2
    • Convention 2.1
      • Candidates 2.1.1
      • Results 2.1.2
    • Primary 2.2
      • Candidates 2.2.1
      • Results 2.2.2
  • General election 3
    • Candidates 3.1
    • Predictions 3.2
    • Fundraising 3.3
    • Polling 3.4
    • Results 3.5
  • Aftermath 4
  • References 5
  • External links 6

Background

In the 2004 U.S. Senate election, Schumer had defeated Republican Assemblyman Howard Mills by a 71 to 24 percent margin. Schumer is highly popular in New York, so it was believed that any Republican contender would likely not fare well against him in 2010.[2] Schumer was heavily favored to retain his seat.[3]

In addition to this regular election, there was also a special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Rodham Clinton, who became the United States Secretary of State on January 21, 2009. In addition, there was the New York gubernatorial election. The existence of two other top-level statewide races, one with a vulnerable Democratic incumbent and the other an open race, respectively,[4] was believed to lead major New York Republicans to gravitate towards them rather than challenge the popular Schumer.[2][5] As it happened, however, the Republican Party had difficulty in drawing top-tier candidates to any of the three races.

Republican nomination

Convention

Candidates

  • Gary Berntsen, retired CIA officer, received the party's endorsement on the second round of balloting[6]
  • Martin Chicon, candidate for New York Senate in 2008[7] and New York Republican State Committee member from upper Manhattan.
  • George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller [8]
  • James Staudenraus, Long Island resident and 2008 state assembly candidate[9]
  • Jay Townsend, Republican strategist (finished second and also qualified for the primary)[6]

Results

Only two candidates, Berntsen and Townsend, obtained at least 25% of the vote at the New York State Republican Convention on June 1, 2010. Bernsen came in first, but still needed to win the primary in order to win the Republican nomination.

Primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jay Townsend 234,440 55.41
Republican Gary Berntsen 188,628 44.59
Total votes 423,068 100

General election

Candidates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid D[11] October 12, 2010
Rothenberg Safe D[12] October 8, 2010
RealClearPolitics Safe D[13]
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe D[14] September 30, 2010
CQ Politics Safe D[15] October 12, 2010
Election Projection Solid D hold[16] October 12, 2010

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Chuck Schumer (D) $17,302,006 $11,824,587 $16,048,482 $0
Jay Townsend (R) $197,365 $180,693 $16,671 $105,854
Source: Federal Election Commission[17]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chuck
Schumer (D)
Jay
Townsend (R)
Other Undecided
Siena College October 27–30, 2010 603 ± 4.0% 64% 32% 2%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 28–29, 2010 541 ± 4.2% 61% 35% 4%
Rasmussen Reports October 19, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 59% 31% 5% 5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 7, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 63% 27% 6%
Survey USA September 20, 2010 1,000 ± 4.2% 54% 33% 10% 3%
Rasmussen Reports September 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 58% 36% 3% 4%
Siena College July 12, 2010 808 ± 3.4% 63% 26% 13%
Rasmussen Reports June 16, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 54% 33% 6% 6%
Siena College June 7–9, 2010 808 ± 3.4% 60% 26% 14%
Siena College May 17–20, 2010 808 ± 3.4% 63% 24% 13%

Results

General election results[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Chuck Schumer (inc.) 2,710,735 65.4
Republican Jay Townsend 1,365,439 33.0
Green Colia Clark 39,815 1.0
Libertarian Randy Credico 25,975 0.6

Aftermath

Credico sued the New York State Board of Elections under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment because of this unfair treatment regarding ballot access. Despite being nominated by both the Libertarian Party and the Anti-Prohibition Party, in most jurisdictions, he only appeared on the ballot once. On June 19, 2013, the Federal District Court for the Eastern District of New York ruled in favor of Credico.[19] The New York State Board of Elections did not appeal this decision.[20]

References

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  2. ^ a b
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  6. ^ a b
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  17. ^
  18. ^
  19. ^ http://www.ballot-access.org/?p=34517
  20. ^ http://www.ballot-access.org/?p=34854

External links

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