United States Senate election in New York, 2010

November 2, 2010



Nominee	Chuck Schumer	Jay Townsend
Party	Democratic	Republican
Popular vote	3,047,775	1,480,337
Percentage	66.4%	33.0%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Chuck Schumer
Democratic

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The 2010 United States Senate election in New York took place as scheduled on November 2, 2010 along with elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a third term.^[1]

Background 1
Republican nomination 2
- Convention 2.1
  - Candidates 2.1.1
  - Results 2.1.2
- Primary 2.2
  - Candidates 2.2.1
  - Results 2.2.2
General election 3
- Candidates 3.1
- Predictions 3.2
- Fundraising 3.3
- Polling 3.4
- Results 3.5
Aftermath 4
References 5
External links 6

Background

In the 2004 U.S. Senate election, Schumer had defeated Republican Assemblyman Howard Mills by a 71 to 24 percent margin. Schumer is highly popular in New York, so it was believed that any Republican contender would likely not fare well against him in 2010.^[2] Schumer was heavily favored to retain his seat.^[3]

In addition to this regular election, there was also a special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Rodham Clinton, who became the United States Secretary of State on January 21, 2009. In addition, there was the New York gubernatorial election. The existence of two other top-level statewide races, one with a vulnerable Democratic incumbent and the other an open race, respectively,^[4] was believed to lead major New York Republicans to gravitate towards them rather than challenge the popular Schumer.^[2]^[5] As it happened, however, the Republican Party had difficulty in drawing top-tier candidates to any of the three races.

Republican nomination

Convention

Candidates

Gary Berntsen, retired CIA officer, received the party's endorsement on the second round of balloting^[6]
Martin Chicon, candidate for New York Senate in 2008^[7] and New York Republican State Committee member from upper Manhattan.
George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller ^[8]
James Staudenraus, Long Island resident and 2008 state assembly candidate^[9]
Jay Townsend, Republican strategist (finished second and also qualified for the primary)^[6]

Results

Only two candidates, Berntsen and Townsend, obtained at least 25% of the vote at the New York State Republican Convention on June 1, 2010. Bernsen came in first, but still needed to win the primary in order to win the Republican nomination.

Primary

Candidates

Results

Republican primary results^[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jay Townsend	234,440	55.41
	Republican	Gary Berntsen	188,628	44.59
Total votes			423,068	100

General election

Candidates

Anti-Prohibition Party: Randy Credico
Conservative Party of New York: Jay Townsend
Democratic Party: Chuck Schumer
Green Party: Colia Clark
Libertarian Party: Randy Credico
Republican Party: Jay Townsend
Taxpayers Party: Gary Berntsen

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report	Solid D^[11]	October 12, 2010
Rothenberg	Safe D^[12]	October 8, 2010
RealClearPolitics	Safe D^[13]
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe D^[14]	September 30, 2010
CQ Politics	Safe D^[15]	October 12, 2010
Election Projection	Solid D hold^[16]	October 12, 2010

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Chuck Schumer (D)	$17,302,006	$11,824,587	$16,048,482	$0
Jay Townsend (R)	$197,365	$180,693	$16,671	$105,854
Source: Federal Election Commission^[17]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Chuck Schumer (D)	Jay Townsend (R)	Other	Undecided
Siena College	October 27–30, 2010	603	± 4.0%	64%	32%	—	2%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 28–29, 2010	541	± 4.2%	61%	35%	4%	—
Rasmussen Reports	October 19, 2010	500	± 4.5%	59%	31%	5%	5%
Angus Reid Public Opinion	October 7, 2010	500	± 4.5%	63%	27%	6%	—
Survey USA	September 20, 2010	1,000	± 4.2%	54%	33%	10%	3%
Rasmussen Reports	September 16, 2010	500	± 4.5%	58%	36%	3%	4%
Siena College	July 12, 2010	808	± 3.4%	63%	26%	—	13%
Rasmussen Reports	June 16, 2010	500	± 4.5%	54%	33%	6%	6%
Siena College	June 7–9, 2010	808	± 3.4%	60%	26%	—	14%
Siena College	May 17–20, 2010	808	± 3.4%	63%	24%	—	13%

Results

General election results^[18]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Chuck Schumer (inc.)	2,710,735	65.4
	Republican	Jay Townsend	1,365,439	33.0
	Green	Colia Clark	39,815	1.0
	Libertarian	Randy Credico	25,975	0.6

Aftermath

Credico sued the New York State Board of Elections under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment because of this unfair treatment regarding ballot access. Despite being nominated by both the Libertarian Party and the Anti-Prohibition Party, in most jurisdictions, he only appeared on the ballot once. On June 19, 2013, the Federal District Court for the Eastern District of New York ruled in favor of Credico.^[19] The New York State Board of Elections did not appeal this decision.^[20]

References

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^ http://www.ballot-access.org/?p=34517
^ http://www.ballot-access.org/?p=34854

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United States Senate election in New York, 2010